--- 格式版本: 2 标题: "台积电因内存缺货积压苹果10亿美元订单？郭明錤：苹果下调出货计划不代表产品积压 _ 东方财富网" 原文链接: "https://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202608113837750983.html" 发布日期: "2026-08-11" 发布时间校准状态: "found" 发布时间需复核: "否" 发布时间来源: "manual" 发布时间证据: "正文中明确标注发布时间为2026年08月11日 13:24，来源澎湃新闻，符合发布时间证据优先级。" 发布时间校准原因: "正文中明确标注发布时间为2026年08月11日 13:24，来源澎湃新闻，符合发布时间证据优先级。" 发布时间校准置信度: "manual-confirmed" 发布时间候选数量: 0 发布时间严格候选数量: 0 发布时间原页读取状态: "manual" 发布时间未找到原因: "" 发布时间校准时间: "2026-08-18T07:37:15+08:00" 发布时间仲裁状态: "manual" 发布时间仲裁尝试次数: 0 发布时间仲裁耗时毫秒: 0 发现时间: "2026-08-12T07:31:52+08:00" 入库时间: "2026-08-11T23:32:31.093Z" 来源平台: "东方财富搜索" 搜索渠道: "source_template" 搜索词: "https://so.eastmoney.com/news/s?keyword=%E5%86%85%E5%AD%98" 匹配关键词: - "内存" - "量产" - "部署" - "AI" 相关厂家: - "AMD" 相关专家: [] 内容类型: "网页" 抓取工具: "CDP Render" 清洗工具: "CDP Text + Defuddle/Readability 正文提取" 原始附件: [] AI优质: "否" AI打分: 15 AI分档: "非优质" AI质检状态: "不通过" AI打分理由: "仅讨论苹果iPhone处理器与内存供应，完全未涉及超节点/AI Rack/机柜级AI基础设施相关内容，属于消费电子供应链新闻，与项目关注范围无关。" AI质检模型: "ali-deepseek-v4-flash" AI质检时间: "2026-08-12T07:32:36+08:00" AI主题相关性: 1 AI来源权威性: 5 AI新颖性: 1 AI技术细节: 0 AI商业部署信号: 0 AI完整性: 8 采集批次: "2026年8月12日2点04分20秒" 采集批次ID: "20260812-020420-289" 去重键: "https://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202608113837750983.html" --- - [财经](http://finance.eastmoney.com/) - [焦点](http://finance.eastmoney.com/yaowen.html) - [股票](http://stock.eastmoney.com/) - [新股](http://stock.eastmoney.com/newstock.html) - [期指](http://stock.eastmoney.com/gzqh.html) - [期权](http://option.eastmoney.com/) - [行情](http://quote.eastmoney.com/flash/sz300059.html) - [数据](http://data.eastmoney.com/) - [全球](http://stock.eastmoney.com/global.html) - [美股](http://stock.eastmoney.com/america.html) - [港股](http://hk.eastmoney.com/) - [期货](http://futures.eastmoney.com/) - [外汇](http://forex.eastmoney.com/) - [银行](http://bank.eastmoney.com/) - [基金](http://www.1234567.com.cn/) - [理财](http://money.eastmoney.com/) - [债券](http://bond.eastmoney.com/) - [直播](https://roadshow.eastmoney.com/) - [股吧](http://guba.eastmoney.com/) - 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"https://wap.eastmoney.com/a/202608113837750983.html") 提示： 微信扫一扫 分享到您的 朋友圈 ![](https://g1.dfcfw.com/g4/202608/20260806130850.png) AI妙想为你解读全文 APP内免费阅读 ![](https://g1.dfcfw.com/g4/202608/20260806130911.png) [![K图 AAPL_0](https://webquoteklinepic.eastmoney.com/GetPic.aspx?nid=105.AAPL&imageType=knews&token=28dfeb41d35cc81d84b4664d7c23c49f&at=1)](http://quote.eastmoney.com/unify/r/105.AAPL) 　　 [专业金融数据，下一代智能终端](https://choice.eastmoney.com/terminal?infocode=202608113837750983) 　　在 [苹果](http://quote.eastmoney.com/unify/r/105.AAPL) 新款iPhone手机即将发布之际，近日有传闻称，因DRAM内存供应紧张， [台积电](http://quote.eastmoney.com/unify/r/106.TSM) 为 [苹果](http://quote.eastmoney.com/unify/r/105.AAPL) 生产的A20 Pro处理器（采用2nm/N2制程）无法完成最终封装。该批芯片价值约10亿美元，只能暂时积压在 [台积电](http://quote.eastmoney.com/unify/r/106.TSM) 厂内，等待 [存储芯片](http://quote.eastmoney.com/unify/r/90.BK1137) 到货才能进行后续工序。这款芯片将用于今年秋季发布的iPhone 18系列。 　　8月11日，天风国际证券知名分析师郭明錤在社交平台发文，明确否认了这一说法。 　　郭明錤表示， **[苹果](http://quote.eastmoney.com/unify/r/105.AAPL) 今年确实因内存短缺而下调了部分硬件出货计划** ，但这并不意味着供应链出现了“先产后等料”的被动局面。他解释称，苹果的供应链管理遵循严格的“以料定产”原则——通常至少提前3个月，根据届时预计能够获得的内存供应量来规划 [台积电](http://quote.eastmoney.com/unify/r/106.TSM) 的处理器生产节奏，而非指令台积电提前大量生产处理器在制品（半成品晶圆）。 　　他同时指出，这并不代表台积电完全不会提前生产并形成一定规模的半成品库存。但核心逻辑在于：如果当前供应瓶颈并不在台积电一方，那么提前大量生产半成品对苹果并无实际益处，苹果也没有充分理由为此额外支付成本。 　　郭明錤强调，根据其产业调查，并未出现“台积电先积压价值10亿美元处理器在制品，再等待内存到位才能进行封装”的情景。他表示，台积电和苹果均为全球供应链执行力顶尖的企业，双方长期保持高度紧密的协同配合，在这样的供应链管理体系下，出现如此大规模半成品被动积压的状况并不常见。 　　此前，相关传闻还将台积电第二季度库存天数增加，与“苹果2nm处理器积压”直接挂钩。台积电第二季度财报显示，公司库存周转天数达到87天，高于第一季度的80天以及去年同期的76天；同期，2nm制程已贡献约3%的晶圆销售收入。 　　不过，郭明錤认为，不能因此直接判断增加的库存来自苹果2nm处理器半成品。他给出了三点原因： 　　首先，台积电过去在每一代全新先进制程（如3nm、5nm）进入初期量产爬坡阶段时，库存天数通常都会有所增加，这属于正常的技术与产能准备周期，并非今年2nm制程量产才出现的特殊情况。 　　其次，台积电财报中所定义的“库存”口径较为宽泛，并不只有处理器在制品，还包括制成品、原材料、物料以及备品等多个项目，半成品仅是其中一部分。 　　第三，今年采用台积电2nm制程的客户并非只有苹果，还包括AMD、联发科等IC设计大厂，其备货需求同样反映在台积电的整体库存水位中，因此不能简单将2nm相关库存全部归因于苹果。 　　不过，苹果确实存在供应短缺问题。日前，苹果给出的第四财季营收指引是增长9%至11%，这一指引区间整体低于分析师预期的12.1%。公司高管指出，外汇波动和供应限制是两大主要拖累因素。 　　苹果CFO Kevan Parekh表示，当季业绩指引受到供应限制拖累，相关产品增速将落入15%左右的两位数区间。剔除约2.5%的外汇影响后，服务业务增速预计与第三财季的12%基本持平。他指出，供应限制的负面影响将在第四财季“显著加剧”，并波及iPhone、Mac和iPad三大产品线。 　　苹果CEO库克也指出，核心问题在于先进工艺节点的系统级芯片（SOC）产能不足。库克进一步解释称，这并非常规供应问题，而是需求预测失准所致——iPhone和Mac的实际表现均明显优于公司预期，而供应链的弹性较以往大幅降低。 　　“我们一直在提前拉动供应，但到某个阶段，这是有极限的。因此，我们将迎来一个在供应端面临压力的季度。”库克表示。 　　近日，据中新经纬援引外媒报道，苹果公司近期开始在其iPhone和MacBook等产品线中，测试使用长鑫存储（CXMT）的 [存储芯片](http://quote.eastmoney.com/unify/r/90.BK1137) ，以缓解因 [人工智能](http://quote.eastmoney.com/unify/r/90.BK0800) 热潮引发的内存短缺问题。知情人士称，苹果已与长鑫存储进行过相关零部件供应的初步洽谈，目标是在中国销售的部分设备中使用这些芯片。 [![](https://np-newspic.dfcfw.com/download/D24832930842412850501_w690h389.jpg)](https://acttg.eastmoney.com/pub/xxlout_khmbdfcfappnew_random_0007467a?infocode=202608113837750983) 　　 [全新妙想投研助理，立即体验](https://ai.eastmoney.com/miaoxiang/?adid=web_mx_dcsy_activity_01_01_01_1&infocode=202608113837750983) （文章来源：澎湃新闻） ![](https://g1.dfcfw.com/g4/202608/20260805130749.png) 暗盘资金榜已更新!这些个股/板块可以关注> 文章来源：澎湃新闻 责任编辑：6 原标题：台积电因内存缺货积压苹果10亿美元订单？郭明錤：苹果下调出货计划不代表产品积压 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